Feature Article

Essential services companies by their nature provide something that’s always needed. So it takes a major catastrophe this year’s pandemic and economic fallout to really shake up our Utility Report Card coverage universe.

Never buy a company just because it may get a takeover offer—unless you’d be happy owning if there’s never a deal. That’s a rule I’ve followed religiously for over 35 years in this business. It’s kept me away from some obvious targets like the former Sprint, which was ultimately bought after nearly going bankrupt.

Clearway Energy (NYSE: CWEN) rewarded our patience last month by restoring quarterly dividends to a rate of 31.25 cents per share. The move initially pushed the stock to a new high in the upper-20s. But it also apparently convinced some investors the big gains are done, a mistake the sellers will likely regret.

Barely a century ago, Americans enjoyed plentiful, clean and practically free drinking water. Now ensuring safe supplies and treating waste is an increasingly essential and rapidly growing $200 billion plus global market. Among the surest beneficiaries: The handful of US investor owned utilities, headlined by Conservative Holding Essential Utilities (NYSE: WTRG).

Over the last 12 months, an investment in the Russell 1000 Growth Index has outperformed an identical stake in the Russell 1000 Value Index by more than 40 percentage points. That’s not just unprecedented outperformance. It’s unsustainable: Sooner or later, either value stocks will catch up with a strong rally, or growth will fall back.

The price of oil has been steady for a while around $40 a barrel and natural gas is over $2.50 per thousand cubic foot. But some energy companies are still downsizing dividends. Origin Energy (ASX: ORG, OTC: OGFGY) is cutting its semi-annual dividend for October to 10 cents Australian. That’s haircut of roughly one-third for the Australian power producer, electricity retailer and LNG investor.

Try “googling” popular investment media for “renewable energy” stocks—odds are you’ll be bombarded by references to Tesla Inc (NSDQ: TSLA), and otherwise scores of earnings-free companies you’ve never heard of.

That description fits to a “T” the vast majority of the 88 members of the WilderHill New Energy Global Innovation Index (NEX). The index itself is up nearly 50 percent year-to-date.

Utilities that diversify too far from regulated essential services usually wind up getting burned. But once in a while, a company with staying power is in the right place at the right time. That’s the case for MDU Resources.

In the May 23 Utility Roundup, I highlighted Southern Company’s (NYSE: SO) “secret weapon” in its odyssey to bring new nuclear construction over the finish line at the Vogtle site in Georgia: Observation of the startup and two years of operations at four facilities in China, built on the same AP1000 reactor model.

Q2 results and guidance updates are in for roughly nine in ten companies in our Utility Report Card coverage universe. And they’re in for 35 of the 40 represented in the Model Portfolios. I’ll send an Alert if the view changes for the handful left to report.