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The Dow Jones Utility Average has posted positive returns in 35 Octobers and 38 fourth quarters since 1969. This year, it will try to repeat that with the benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield (TNX) rising to its highest level in seven years.

Powerful DJUA returns in 2009 and 2013 against 70 percent plus increases in the TNX demonstrate dividend-paying stocks can make big money when rates rise. So does the DJUA’s 60 percent return during the previous Federal Reserve tightening cycle in 2004-06, and utilities’ nearly 70 percent since May 1, 2013, when the Fed declared the end of Quantitative Easing.

Rate fears, however, can be a near-term headwind.

Next Issue : Nov. 9, 2018View Past Issues



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