Roger S. Conrad

Earlier this month, a prominent Wall Street firm noted retail investors aren’t buying stock market dips, for the first time in quite a while. That’s absolutely understandable with the S&P 500 underwater nearly -20 percent so far in 2022, and many of last year’s high-tech favorites much deeper in the red. Utilities and essential services stocks too have had their share of ups and downs. But despite a great deal of uncharacteristic volatility, the Dow Jones Utility Average is still slightly in the green year-to-date, including a basically flat performance since the June issue of CUI posted.

It’s hard to believe that 20 years ago CMS Energy (NYSE: CMS) was a pariah in its home state of Michigan. The long-time CEO had exited in disgrace, after spectacularly failing to convert the electric and gas utility into a mini-Enron. And the company was floundering in debt and bad will from regulators and customers.

Last month, Aggressive Holding AES Corp (NYSE: AES) bought a 183-megawatt capacity wind power facility in Mississippi from Vestas Wind Systems (Denmark: VWS, OTC: VWSYF). It started up 96 MW of solar/storage projects in Massachusetts and New York. And it forged a consortium with Clearway Energy (NYSE: CWEN) to buy 7 gigawatts of solar panels annually from US manufacturers starting in 2024.

First, let’s look at the record. For the first six months of 2022, the Conservative Holdings returned an average of 4.3 percent. The Aggressive Holdings were up 0.44 percent. And the Top 10 DRIPs—which feature a fair amount of overlap with the Conservative Holdings—were ahead by 5.31 percent.

Recession may not be inevitable for the US economy this year. But with the US Federal Reserve doing its best Paul Volcker impression, it’s well past time for investors to prepare against the worst.

The highest inflation rate in 40 years plus, the worst bond market meltdown in decades, increasingly unpredictable and sometimes aggressive US regulation, war in Europe, the highest oil and gas prices since 2008 and now rising recession risk, as the US Federal Reserve jacks up interest rates to slow inflation.

After trading at extreme and unsustainably high prices for months and months, many best-in-class REITs are once again trading at good entry points for investors. But wise selection of individual REITs is more critical than ever.