Communications traffic is surging while the global economy shrinks. By and large, sector companies didn’t convert that to higher profits or even revenues in Q1. But the emerging trend is faster adoption of 5G, with a resulting earnings liftoff for industry leaders the next few years.
It’s been a difficult couple of years for AGL Energy (ASX: AGL, OTC: AGLXY), Australia’s largest power producer and electricity retailer.
First came the National/Liberal Party federal government’s aggressive reaction to rising prices for natural gas and electricity—a trend AGL had correctly bet on that resulted from a dramatic increase in the country’s LNG exports.
When Vistra Energy (NYSE: VST) emerged from the TXU bankruptcy in late 2016, we weren’t optimistic. Wholesale electricity prices were in a multi-year slide, and the economics of the company’s coal heavy assets were eroding even faster.
Competition from “associated” natural gas in Texas and scarce takeaway capacity are weighing on the price of natural gas produced in Appalachia. That’s triggered a meltdown of regional producers in 2019, including a 50 percent plus decline in the largest, EQT Resources (NYSE: EQT).
Roughly four years ago, Atlantica Yield’s (NSDQ: AY) largest shareholder Abengoa SA (Spain: ABG) filed bankruptcy. The move restricted cash flows from facilities the pair held in common. And as a result, the yieldco was forced to suspend dividends until September 2016, when it resumed at a quarterly rate that was barely one-third the former payout.
Carlos Slim’s America Movil (Mexico: AMXL, NYSE: AMX) today is a global powerhouse serving nearly 280 million wireless and 85 million wireline customers in more than a dozen countries. Mexico is most important at a third of revenue, followed by Brazil at 20 percent and the US at 15 percent.
Roughly a year ago, deep-pocketed Global Infrastructure Partners replaced downsizing NRG Energy (NYSE: NRG) as Clearway Energy’s (NYSE: CWEN) primary owner and sponsor. We immediately added the yieldco to our Aggressive Holdings, anticipating faster cash flow and dividend growth.
US/China trade turmoil, rising political tensions in Hong Kong and erratic Australian regulation have driven down shares of CLP Holdings (Hong Kong: 2, OTC: CLPHY) below our buy target of USD11. Now’s the time to pick up shares of this Aggressive Holding.
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