Roger S. Conrad

Stocks’ summer rally swung into reverse starting mid-August. And with the Federal Reserve pushing hard against stubbornly high inflation, it’s unlikely we’ve seen maximum damage or duration of what’s looking more and more like a real bear market.

Among the very few pockets of strength are regulated utilities. Even as the S&P 500 is again at a -17 percent year-to-date loss and income benchmark iShares Select Dividend ETF is in the red by -1.6 percent, the Dow Jones Utility Average is well in the black with a 5.66 percent total return.

Shares of Aggressive Holding Avangrid Inc (NYSE: AGR) trade basically where they began 2022. That underperformance of the Dow Jones Utility Average is no surprise, with the US arm of 81.65 percent owner Iberdrola SA (Spain: IBE, IBDRY) facing regulatory and operating uncertainty on three fronts. And Wall Street is obviously skeptical, with six “underweight/underperform/sell” recommendations by Bloomberg Intelligence-tracked analysts last month.

The S&P 500 rose roughly 18 percent from a mid-June low to its summer high in mid-August. Since then, it’s given back about two-thirds of those gains—and is showing every sign of setting a new yearly low in the coming weeks.

Since the start of 2022, the US Dollar Index is up about 15 percent to its highest level since 2001. That’s the result of determined inflation-fighting by the US Federal Reserve in the context of a still relatively strong US economy.

You’re not an experienced investor until you’ve seen a real bear market. I define that as a selloff for stocks deep enough to do real damage to wealth, and long lasting enough to change investor behavior.

The California Air Resources Board voted to ban sales of gasoline-powered vehicles by 2035, and targets minimum electric vehicle market share of 35 percent by 2026 and 68 percent by 2030. And 17 other states will likely follow suit.